In its 6 February 2026 update, FAO raised its forecast for global cereal production in 2025 to 3 023 million tonnes (up 19.9 million tonnes from last month), reinforcing expectations of a record crop. The main driver is wheat: better-than-anticipated yields in Argentina, Canada and the European Union are set to lift world wheat output to a new all-time high. The outlook for coarse grains was also nudged higher to a fresh peak, reflecting updated information from China and the United States pointing to larger maize area and stronger yields, alongside upward revisions to barley production in Australia and Canada.